Saturday, November 6, 2010

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06.-07. 11.2010. Bets Of The Week


06.11.2010. 
13:45 Bolton Wanderers - Tottenham Hotspur
"Tottenham will be on a high after defeating European champions Inter and will fancy their chances against a Bolton side who have proved difficult to beat this season. Liverpool were very fortunate to beat a Bolton outfit that are playing a much more attractive brand of football this season but are still unafraid to mix it up and upset technically superior opponents.
"Tottenham's league form has been patchy this season as the Champions league looks to be their priority. Bolton have only failed to score twice in the league this season and will be highly motivated against Spurs who may just suffer a European hangover. I expect both teams to score in this match which is 1.66 with Sportingbet."
Tip: Both teams to score @ 1.66

16:00 Fulham - Aston Villa
"Well, last week we had our first losing week although the games at Bolton and Blackburn both had winning goals scored in the last 5 minutes. The run was bound to come to an end and in truth I am surprised it has lasted so long
"This weekend there does not seem too much value around and some of the prices on the draw are far too short. However I have managed to find three selections and these are the best bets in terms of value.
"The match with the biggest draw bias this week is Fulham v Aston Villa. Record of teams of Fulham's grade when playing at home to teams of Aston Villa's grade reads H5 D6 L6. Fulham's recent home record against teams of Aston Villa's grading is W1 D2 L2. Aston Villa's recent away record against teams of Fulhams grading is W3 D1 L5.
"Head to Head recent record at Craven Cottage reads Fulham 2 Draw 2 Aston Villa 1. Fulham have drawn 2 of their last 5 home matches. Aston Villa have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches."
Tip: Fulham v Aston Villa draw @ 3.20

07.11.2010. 
16:30 Malmo - Mjallby & Helsingborg - Kalmar
"After 29 thrilling weeks of action Sweden's Allsvenskan wraps up on Sunday and the stakes couldn't be higher. A new champion will be crowned as both Malmo and Helsingborg enter the final day level on 64 points each in a scenario reminiscent of 1995 when Blackburn Rovers and Manchester United duked it out for the Premier League on the last day of the season.
"Unlike the drama of 1995 both Malmo and Helsingborg are at home and frankly both should win in their sleep. Malmo's home form has been outstanding but they slipped up against Kalmar spoiling their unbeaten record at the Swedbank Stadion. They face Mjallby, who are out of the running for the European spots, and have lost six times away from home this season. Malmo boosted their goal difference significantly by winning their last two games 4-0.
"Helsingborg have to go and win and win big to have any chance of claiming the title. Even then they will need a favour from Mjallby as Henrik Larsson's old club have scored ten goals less than Malmo and have a poorer head to head record against their local rivals. They take on Kalmar, who will want to show their result against Malmo was no fluke, but they are safe in mid-table and have little but pride to play for. When the teams met back in May it was Kalmar who ran out 1-0 winners.
"Considering the stakes at play it seems a fair estimation that both Malmo and Helsingborg will win which is a well priced double @ 1.75. You may also want to consider a goal handicap on Helsingborg who might well rack up a cricket score on the day."
Tip: Double on Malmo and Helsingborg to win @ 1.75

17:00 Liverpool - Chelsea
"Two unconvincing yet very valuable wins have pushed Liverpool up the table, but their record against sides in the current top four this season is poor – with a draw and two defeats so far.
"There is also the possibility of the return of Frank Lampard for Chelsea this match. Lampard has scored in three of Chelsea's last five Premier League visits to Anfield. Chelsea has kept seven clean sheets this season, three more than any other Premier League side.
"I think Liverpool’s problems have been masked a little by victories over Blackburn and Bolton but will be exposed once more with a punishing home defeat."
Tips: Chelsea to win @ 2.0 & Chelsea to win 2-0 @ 10.0

17:00 Zaragoza - Mallorca
"Real Zaragoza are winless for 11 games in a row overall and although it could be said that a win may be overdue I will take my chances with Mallorca. On their last two away games, against Valencia and Barcelona they managed to stay unbeaten they islanders picked up an impressive four points.
"Mallorca has a good overall record against Zaragoza in recent years with five wins, two draws and just three defeats. In more detailed analysis in the last five games these clubs have met Mallorca have recorded three wins and two draws but when playing at La Romareda the visitors are unbeaten in the last two.
"You have to go back to 2006 for the last home Zaragoza has recorded against Mallorca. It is also interesting to see that Mallorca have covered four of their last five on the spread, while Real Zaragoza have failed to cover seven of their last eight on the spread. Real Zaragoza have actually failed to cover four in a row when spread favourite. Taking in account all the above I will say that the odds for Mallorca represents value and as such I will be backing them."
Tip: Mallorca draw no bet @ 2.20 or Mallorca +0.25 at 1.86